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The salary outlook for 2010


So, what about your pay next year?

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I mean, forget this year.

We can put 2009 down as the year of the pay cut, either with a knife or the pay cut that’s not called a pay cut.

It’s called a furlough or a forced unpaid vacation or a reduction in hours or the announcement that there will be no raises this year. In my reporting, I found so many examples of that.

And don’t forget the salary offers for new hires that recruiters said are coming in, across the board, at 10 percent to 50 percent less than a year ago.

So what’s ahead? The consultants at Hewitt Associates surveyed employers across the globe and found that salaried employees can expect a pay raise of 2.6 percent in 2010.

Before you start the party, know that 2.6 percent is an increase over 2009, when base salaries rose only 1.8 percent. That was the lowest such figure in 33 years. Hewitt started tracking this in 1976.

Okay, it’s better. But is it good?

Yes, at least by one estimate. In 2010, the Congressional Budget Office projects we'll have 1.7 percent inflation. So salaries will outpace rising prices.

This year, the CBO’s view is that we’ll have almost no inflation, a 0.1 percent rise in the Consumer Price Index, so pay was rising in real terms this year, as well.

But somehow, with all the stories of pay cuts, it doesn’t feel like it did at all.

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Comments

Apparently the CBO doesn't buy groceries.;-)


The only people getting pay raises are our selected officials....and thats because the voted to get them automatically, no matter how bad WE are suffering.


Seems all the teachers up here in the St. Louis area are getting nice fat raises (i.e. 4.8% over the next two years) on the backs of already overwhelmed property tax owners. Unemployment is around 10%, homes are in foreclosure, the house values have declined. People are getting laid off or forced to take pay cuts to keep their jobs, but at least they have higher property tax bills to look forward to to support teachers and school administrators getting 4.8% annual RAISES.


Seems all the teachers up here in the St. Louis area are getting nice fat raises (i.e. 4.8% over the next two years) on the backs of already overwhelmed property tax owners. Unemployment is around 10%, homes are in foreclosure, the house values have declined. People are getting laid off or forced to take pay cuts to keep their jobs, but at least they have higher property tax bills to look forward to to support teachers and school administrators getting 4.8% annual RAISES.


I can't beleive someone could possibly complain about teachers getting a 4.8% raise. Teachers have the hardest job in America, they have to teach all these rotten spoiled children that for some reason can't get the proper guidance at home these days. Teachers have to be the Teacher, then the Parent, then the role model. Complain that Brett Farve just signed a contract for 25 mil. for 2 years. How rediculous is that, while the tax payers keep saying yes for their tax dollars to go towards the stadium that these Billionaires get to keep and they are able to pay their employees millions.


I can't beleive someone could possibly complain about teachers getting a 4.8% raise. Teachers have the hardest job in America, they have to teach all these rotten spoiled children that for some reason can't get the proper guidance at home these days. Teachers have to be the Teacher, then the Parent, then the role model. Complain that Brett Farve just signed a contract for 25 mil. for 2 years. How rediculous is that, while the tax payers keep saying yes for their tax dollars to go towards the stadium that these Billionaires get to keep and they are able to pay their employees millions.


4.8% over the next two years is not 4.8% annually. You should have paid attention in class.


OK let me guess. What is inflation? Services went up by at least 5-10 %. Oil goes up and the moment we declare ressesion over it will be near 100$ per barrel.
Tools are up, taxes on cigs are up.
Property taxes are going up despite house value down. Insurance are going up ( i work for one). Beer is going up.
So when they say no inflation - they probably mean plasma TV's and netbooks right?
Right now each person spends more money on daily bases for necessity more than an year ago. But hey, there is no inflation. Just jacking up the prices for everything.


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About the author
You've got the job of managing your money. No one in school taught you how. But you and I, we can teach each other, how to handle it, how to save for retirement, how to make money last, how to educate the kids, how to make a budget work. The conversations I have with my readers are fun. Money's important, but discussing it does not have to be boring.

Harriet Johnson Brackey Harriet Johnson Brackey, the personal finance columnist for the Sun Sentinel, is an award-winning business reporter. Her columns for 2008 were named "The Best in the Business," a national award chosen by her colleagues at the Society of American Business Editors and Writers.

Brackey has worked at Business Week magazine and at USA TODAY, where she was a founder and part of the original staff of the Money section at the country's first national newspaper. After nearly 11 years there - spent covering the 1980s bull market, the insider trading scandals, the 1987 crash - Brackey left Washington, D.C., and came to The Miami Herald. She spent the next decade writing a column about personal finance that chronicled the stock market's Internet boom and bust, as well as the popular Money Makeover features.

Brackey also has done commentaries for Marketplace Money, which airs on National Public Radio and The Nightly Business Report which is broadcast on more than 250 PBS television stations nationwide. She also has been a radio guest on WLRN’s Miami Herald News.
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