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Florida home prices, cut in more than half


Here's the prediction for the average home price in Florida, during the boom and beyond, from Moody's Analytics. It'll get any homeowner's heart pounding.

Moody Analytics is forecasting an astounding drop, from peak to trough, that is not yet over. That’s from the height of the real estate boom to the bottom, which is still six months away.

For Florida, home prices will fall 52.4 percent from the second quarter of 2006 through the second quarter of 2012. The drubbing won't be over until next summer.

In the U.S., the peak-to-trough ride is a little shorter and somewhat less rough. Moody's Analystics says it will be a 33.75 percent drop from the first quarter of 2006 (the nation peaked earlier than Florida) to the second quarter of 2012.

Home prices nationwide had never, since the Great Depression, fallen on a year-over-year basis.

Now, we’re heading into the sixth year of falling prices.

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About the author
You've got the job of managing your money. No one in school taught you how. But you and I, we can teach each other, how to handle it, how to save for retirement, how to make money last, how to educate the kids, how to make a budget work. The conversations I have with my readers are fun. Money's important, but discussing it does not have to be boring.

Harriet Johnson Brackey Harriet Johnson Brackey, the personal finance columnist for the Sun Sentinel, is an award-winning business reporter. Her columns for 2008 were named "The Best in the Business," a national award chosen by her colleagues at the Society of American Business Editors and Writers.

Brackey has worked at Business Week magazine and at USA TODAY, where she was a founder and part of the original staff of the Money section at the country's first national newspaper. After nearly 11 years there - spent covering the 1980s bull market, the insider trading scandals, the 1987 crash - Brackey left Washington, D.C., and came to The Miami Herald. She spent the next decade writing a column about personal finance that chronicled the stock market's Internet boom and bust, as well as the popular Money Makeover features.

Brackey also has done commentaries for Marketplace Money, which airs on National Public Radio and The Nightly Business Report which is broadcast on more than 250 PBS television stations nationwide. She also has been a radio guest on WLRN’s Miami Herald News.
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