Gambling pros rate the Oscar races
Filling out your Oscar pool today or over the weekend and you haven't seen any of the nominated films (welcome to the club)?
For what it's worth, here's how the offshore betting site Bookmaker.com rates some of the key races. Bear in mind the favorites don't always win in any competition and that betting on these sites is against the law. But these odds, unlike the ones you see posted from Las Vegas, can actually be bet on, so some thorough research went into them.
Daniel-Day Lewis is considered close to a sure thing as best actor for There Will Be Blood. You'd have to bet $15 to win $1 on him. Only a fool would do that but on a pool ticket, it's like a free space.
Julie Christie is also an odds-on pick for best actress for Away From Her but not nearly as strong as D-DL.. You'd have to lay a little more than $3 to win $1.
Javier Bardem is almost as solid a choice for supporting actor for No Country for Old Men. It would take a $13 wager to win $1. Looks like another sure check mark.
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There) and Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone) are practically co-choices for supporting actress. If you want to split hairs, Blanchett is the slightest of favorites.
No Country for Old Men is a fairly strong choice as best picture although There Will Be Blood would not be the upset of the century.
It would be a major upset if the Coen Brothers don't take the directing prize for No Country for Old Men. Their film is also the one to beat in the adapted screenplay category.
In the category that's often a pool ticket killer, foreign film, Mongol is a slight favorite over Katyn with the others real longshots.
Another tough category, because no one ever sees them, short films, boils down to Madame Tutli Putli and Peter and the Wolf, according to Bookmaker.com.
You're on your own for the rest of them.


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