Story o' the Day: Obama spreadsheet leaks

The story of the day seems to be a Bloomberg piece about an Obama campaign spreadsheet projecting the rest of the race that was inadvertently released.

It'll become a reference point, so we show it below, via Politico. The campaign has said it's actually only one of several scenarios they projected, but if so it's one that captures the conventional wisdom of the moment. It projects Obama winning every Feb. battle except for the Maine caucuses, close wins for Hillary in beer-track states like Pennsylvania and Ohio and the only big Hispanic-vote state left (Texas), wins for Obama most other places.

With that, it foresees Obama winning the pledged delegates by 67. Which would put the race right smack in the hands of superdelegates. Interesting that you can project coming out ahead even if Hillary wins NY, Calif., NJ, Mass., Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Would something about that pattern eventually interrupt Obama's success in smaller states and fundraising?

bloombergspreadsheet.jpg

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