The answer my friends will be self evident with the selection that Payton makes in the first round of the NFL draft Saturday.
If the Saints draft a running back in the first round: Sean Payton is telling the world he has job security. How else to explain it? If the Saints, the league's top offense, take an offensive player, Payton is telling you he will be given more time by owner Tom Benson to rebuild a porous defense.
If the Saints trade down in the first round: Sean Payton is not only displaying job security but an understanding of the strength of this draft. The 2009 class has very few marquee entrants, but from picks 20 to 50 , there is real value. The problem with trading down is that many teams would like to do it, but can't strike a deal.
If the Saints pick a defensive player at 14: Sean Payton is understanding the obvious. His defense doesn't have a playmaker and needs to get one in the first round. Do the Saints have a game changer on defense? It is hard to be top 10 defensive team without a player offenses have to account for. Picking a defensive player is not only a "need" pick, it is a self preservation choice.
If the Saints miss the playoffs for a third straight year, Sean Payton could be toast. But, if his defense improves, and Drew Brees stays healthy, Payton's Saints could have a very good year in a watered down NFC South. The Panthers and Bucs appear to be taking a step back. Atlanta, with Matt Ryan at quarterback, will challenge with the Saints for the division crown.
Last year, the Falcons, picking three, selected Ryan. It was a decision that changed the direction of a franchise. The Saints hope to get that type of defensive player this year. But, they won't get better on defense, unless they draft for it.
Sean, your move.
Ed Daniels