October 2008 Archives

October 31, 2008

Comment Winter Olympics

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With no more Weekend Predictions until next April, I was looking for some other weekly feature we could use to spice up Fridays. Something else with that TGIF vibe to it.

When in doubt, steal. So I'm swiping the "Comment of the Week" award concept from Neil Best, who I believe swiped it from Bob Glauber. We'll make ours a seasonal thing, though - every Friday, from today through April 2, 2009. The Weekend Predictions will resume on April 9, 2009.

But let's add our own twist here: I'll give out a gold, silver and bronze every week. No one can win more than one medal per week. Hence the "Winter Olympics" idea. And yes, I am adapting a liberal definition of "winter." After all, the "baseball winter" is now upon us, and it can still be pretty cold even in early April.

So here we go. In some cases, I have edited for spelling and punctuation:

  • The bronze goes to Richie G., with this characteristically wacky memory, posted on Monday:

    I remember when the Rangers won the Cup, I stayed up all night and made posters and put them on my brother's lawn. (I'm all class) The best part was I KNEW he couldn't retaliate because he had to be on a plane that morning and wouldn't have time to get me back. When I woke up, there were posters on my lawn. He didn't miss his flight, but he was willing to if that was the cost.

    BTW, I'm going to assume that Richie's brother is an Islanders fan, as opposed to, say, a Canucks fan.

  • The silver goes to JMH, in a debate about Phil Hughes' future, also posted on Monday:

    I remember watching Nolan Ryan pitch on a very cold spring day 40 years ago. He was wild and threw pitches to the backstop. People trashed him in the stands and yelled for Gil Hodges to take him out. He ended up in the HOF.

  • The gold goes to baileywalk, for a post Sunday about the final play in World Series Game 3: Evan Longoria's weak attempt to field Carlos Ruiz's soft grounder and throw home to get Eric Bruntlett on a force:

    It would have been much funnier if Longoria just reared back and beaned Bruntlett in the back of the head, knocking him out, Bruntlett's unconscious body scoring the winning run. Or maybe that thought was inspired by too many beers...

    OK, actual baseball thoughts:

  • I dug into a story I wrote from last year's general meetings concerning the trade of Brad Lidge to the Phillies. You want to talk about luck playing a factor in a baseball season? Take this: The Phillies had a unique advantage in the Lidge sweepstakes, because the Astros' new GM, Ed Wade, ran the Phillies from 1998 through 2005. He knew outfielder Michael Bourn, and he valued him much more than anyone else did. Bourn OPSed a horrendous .588 for the Astros this past year.

    The Mets were interested in Lidge at the time, as a setup man for Lidge's Astros buddy Billy Wagner, but Wade wanted a package headed by either Carlos Gomez or Fernando Martinez. The Mets couldn't do that, because they very likely knew at that point that Gomez would be needed to acquire Johan Santana, and they weren't going to give up Martinez for someone they perceived as a setup man; they wouldn't even trade Martinez for Santana. Even Gomez, somewhat of a disappointment for the Twins, OPSed .656.

    So the Phillies received a circumstantial discount, influenced by something entirely out of their control: Astros owner Drayton McLane's decision to hire Wade.

  • It's going to be a fascinating winter for the Yankees. They'll keep an eye on Manny Ramirez, but I'd be very surprised if they wound up with him. While every team could use his bat, they're pretty stocked at outfield and DH.

  • Speaking of fascinating, I want to see how Fernando Tatis, who re-signed with the Mets yesterday, plays for the Mets next year. It's easy to forget now how valuable Tatis proved to be, since he suffered a season-ending injury in the next-to-last week of the season and wasn't around for that final, dreadful week.

    Have a great weekend.

  • Thanks to this site and this site for the cartoons.



  • October 30, 2008

    Transaction Analysis: Ken Macha to be named Brewers manager

    macha.jpgI added the "Instant Trade Analysis" category during the trade deadline in July, but now that we're in winter, I need something a little more all-encompassing. Hence the new "Transaction Analysis," which we'll use for everything going forward - trades, free-agent signings, manager and general manager hirings and firings, Rule 5 draft, etc.

    What fascinates me about this is that Macha will be managing his second big-league team, but I'm sure the job will feel dramatically different to him.

    Yes, he'll still have to deal with the Xs and Os of game management. Yet the A's and Brewers are about as far apart on the philosophical scale as it gets in baseball.

    The A's are new-school, with lightning-rod GM Billy Beane blazing the trail. Beane regards the manager's position as somewhat dispensable and largely dictates strategy (minimal bunting, for instance). A friend of Macha's told me, back at the time, that Macha intensely disliked working as Beane's manager.

    The Brewers are old-school. GM Doug Melvin never would've fired his manager, Ned Yost, with 12 games remaining in the season. It took his owner, Mark Attanasio, to execute what turned out to be the correct and necessary move. While the GM clearly ranks above the manager in the Brewers' hierarchy, Melvin is much more inclined than is Beane to treat his manager as a partner and equal.

    I don't think one philosophy is right and one is wrong. I think Beane and Melvin are two of the best GMs in baseball. There's more than one way to operate.

    But when presented with today's question: "Is Macha the right man to lead the Brewers?" the answer is, "I'm not sure," because it's not very helpful to look to Macha's Oakland years as a reference.

    One interesting note: Macha did seem to lose his players at the end of his run in Oakland, and one of those players, Jason Kendall, is now the Brewers' catcher. Someone told me that Melvin checked in with Kendall before hiring Macha, so I guess that wasn't an insurmountable hurdle.

    UPDATE, 8:30 p.m.: Sorry, was taking care of personal business, but this trade was interesting to me only because Mike Jacobs is interesting to me. As baileywalk noted, Jacobs has an odd mix of attributes: Great power, horrendous on-base skills, can't hit lefties. I'll ask if the Yankees inquired about him, but gosh, a .299 OBP is just lethal.

    I don't remember seeing Nunez in person, but his numbers are impressive. Based upon what I know of Jacobs, and the respective histories of these two front offices, I'm giving the edge to the Marlins, who have a prospect, Gaby Sanchez, ready to replace Jacobs at a fraction of the cost.

    Thanks to this site for the photo.

    October 29, 2008

    World Series: Game 5 thoughts, Part II

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    1. Here is my column from the final game of the 2008 season. Joe Maddon is clearly a bright, affable guy who connects with his players, and he'll deserve the AL Manager of the Year award he'll receive in a couple of weeks. But in the name of Mercury, how could he sleep last night knowing that he didn't put David Price in the game until it was too late?

    You have a pitcher who has the stuff of a starter, the bulldog mentality of a reliever, and the arm strength to pitch for a long time. With your season on the line, how does he not take the mound the minute Charlie Manuel summons Geoff Jenkins to pinch hit for Cole Hamels?

    When you throw in the other mistakes Maddon made in the three innings, you have to really wonder if he'll take the winter to re-evaluate his game managing. That marked the second game of this postseason, the other one being this, in which his managing appalled the senses.

    He's a contrarian, and his big line after ALCS Game 5 - when he botched a number of matchups - was, "This is how we've done it all year." I didn't see enough Rays games to speak to that. But Maddon sure ignored common sense a lot. And it sure backfired on him, a lot.

    2. That written, congratulations to the Rays for a truly remarkable season. I don't buy the idea that they're some sort of dynasty waiting to happen; unexpected stuff happens in this great game. But with their talent base and their dynamic front office, they figure to be a factor for many, many years to come.

    3. Okay, now, the Phillies. There are three people who should really enjoy this moment. One is Pat Gillick, who came out of retirement three years ago to replace Ed Wade as Philadelphia's GM. Wade did a better job than people realized, setting up a nuecleus by drafting/acquiring and developing players like World Series MVP Cole Hamels, Brett Myers, Pat Burrell, Ryan Howard, Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley and Shane Victorino (a Rule 5 selection), not to mention hiring manager Charlie Manuel.

    But Gillick rounded out the roster with guys like Jayson Werth, Jamie Moyer, Matt Stairs, J.C. Romero and, last winter, Brad Lidge. He made the call to trade Jim Thome to clear room for Howard. And he had the humility to NOT rearrange the furniture just for the sake of proving that you can do so.

    Gillick is an all-time, legendary GM: Three World Series titles and 11 playoff appearances in 30 years. If you eliminate the first seven years he ran the Blue Jays (1978-84), when he was building up an expansion team from scratch, he made the playoffs 11 times in 23 years. He doesn't get all warm and fuzzy with the media, which is why he doesn't get more coverage - and don't get me wrong, I loves me some warm and fuzzy. But to end his career on such a high note gives him a spotlight he richly deserves.

    4. Charlie Manuel. I remember ripping Wade for hiring Manuel, wondering why such a country bumpkin would be brought in. Boy, was I wrong. Charlie proved to be a perfect fit for this tough city. He establishes such a positive environment in the clubhouse, every day, that the players have only themselves to blame if they get caught up in the negativity.

    If you watched the post-game celebration on the field, and Manuel's interview with Fox, you saw how fired up he was. He deserved it, at age 64. He'll never be mocked again (or, at least until he botches a game decision next year).

    5. Lidge, pictured above. I discussed him here. What I neglected to mention was that, the night Lidge served up that tape-measure shot to Albert Pujols, he was the first person at his locker after the game. He took full accountability for what happened, in multiple cyles with the large media contingent. Since then, I always have admired Lidge.

    While Lidge might have maintained his strong stuff after '05, there's no doubt his subsequent two years with the Astros were a struggle. Everything he did was viewed through the prism of his '05 postseason. Now, he has rewritten his own biography. Good for him.

    6. Philly. Good for them. As Dave Lennon and I left Citizens Bank Park at about 12:20 this morning, the crowd was rowdy but not violent. Apparently, hanging out of cars and dancing on top of cars is the cool thing to do there. They deserve it. Twenty-five years without a sports parade is a long time. They'll have theirs tomorrow. I also loved the booing of Bud Selig, even after they had won it all. I think Bud will look fondly upon it, too, eventually.

    7. So now it's offseason time. Less running around for me means more blog entries. Thanks for the enthusiasm of the past week. And here is my final World Series Insider, focusing on Mark Teixeira's future.

    SELF-PROMOTION UPDATE: I will be on XM Satellite Radio, Channel 175, with Charlie Steiner at 1:45 this afternoon.

    Attention, K-Mart shoppers...

    Open free agency will start on on Friday, November 14.

    For the next 15 days, teams will enjoy a window of exclusivity to negotiate with their own free agents.

    We'll dissect Game 5 tomorrow. Have a good night.

    World Series: The Mets' showmanship

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    As discussed here before, I always work myself into a frenzy in the rare instances that I listen to sports radio. Today was no exception.

    As I drove down the New Jersey Turnpike, I listened to Dennis' pal Francesa, and he took a caller who referenced the third item in this story by Jon Heyman, which in turn credits this story by Bill Madden.

    The caller then declared that the Mets had "no fight," and that they needed to change their clubhouse culture.

    "They're great dancers," the caller said of the Mets' players, clearly a veiled reference to Jose Reyes.

    I want to start asking these Mets fans, who hate their own team, what they thought of the 1986 Mets. They had to be one of the more hated teams in recent times, didn't they? The difference, of course, is they got it done when they had to. I thought the '08 Mets displayed plenty of character until the bitter end. They just couldn't overcome their horrid bullpen.

    Did those '86 Mets have a toughess that the '07-'08 Mets lacked? Absolutely. But they also had better talent. They had two second basemen who contributed, as opposed to zero. An incredible bench. Two guys who could close.

    I don't know, maybe this is the fatigue talking. But I think the Mets are smart to target relief help this winter. If they just protect more of the leads they get, they can play with all of the swagger in the world.

    Thanks to this site for the Lenny Dykstra photo.

    World Series: Random thoughts from back home

    What a wacky turn of events. I headed home yesterday, once it became apparent that he would have no baseball, and will drive back down to Philly tonight.

    The forecast looks better this morning - just clouds, no rain. As we've learned, however, these meteorologists are not quite perfect.

    Maybe Jim Baumbach is right with his column: Maybe the suspended game, and the accompanying drama, will raise the interest level tonight. On the other hand, maybe casual fans will have moved onto the NBA and Halloween.

  • Here is my column for today's Newsday. As I mentioned here yesterday, the Phillies have every right to be upset with how things went down, IMHO. There are many managers whom I think would have a tough time letting this go. But Charlie Manuel is not such a manager. Charlie has guided his Phillies players through all sorts of adversity and distractions since he took over for the 2005 season. He's anything but a master game manager, but he's superb at managing those players.

  • I think the very start of the night will be the most intriguing part. Will Joe Maddon put wunderkind David Price on the mound to begin the bottom of the sixth?

    Shouldn't Maddon start the game with Grant Balfour, who was the Rays' pitcher when play was stopped? Manuel would respond to that by using Greg Dobbs, Geoff Jenkins or Matt Stairs as a pinch hitter for Cole Hamels.

    But if Maddon wants, he can then immediately lift Balfour for a lefty reliever (Price, J.P. Howell or Trever Miller), setting up either a lefty-lefty matchup or prompting Manuel to go to a second pinch hitter (Eric Burntlett, Chris Coste or So Taguchi). Either way, Maddon will have put some sort of hit on Manuel's bench. So this is what he should do, right?

  • At this point, Game 7 (if necessary) would be Friday night. Wouldn't Manuel have to start Cole Hamels, on three days' rest, for that game? Hamels threw only 75 pitches Monday night, a relatively brief outing. You've got to go with your ace in that spot, right? If he doesn't have it, you'll have Jamie Moyer on five days' rest and Joe Blanton on four days' rest, both ready to go, too. But you've got to start it off with your best.

  • I'll stick with my original "Phillies in six" prediction, which means the Rays will prevail tonight and force the Series back to St. Petersburg. I do think, however, the Phillies are too good to lose three games in a row.

  • No MIdweek Insider today. Since I'm doing "World Series Insiders" from the games, I'll have some fresh stuff for you in tomorrow's newspaper (and Web site, of course).

  • October 28, 2008

    World Series: Game 5 thoughts, Part I

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    Greetings from Plymouth Meeting, PA! Turned out that Lennon and I were overly optimistic in checking out of our respective hotels yesterday afternoon, with the intention of driving back to The Big Apple last night. When this happened, we both had to scramble for rooms. So I'm out here, about 20 miles from Citizens Bank Park. I think Dave is staying at the Governor's Mansion in New Jersey.

    (BTW, these sort of "media travel details" drive Rieber nuts. I'm just sayin'.)

    So, instead of pursuing the producers of this show, and roughing them up, let's dissect what happened at the ballpark.

    1. Here is my column. To break it down further:

    a. No objections to starting the game. At first pitch, the weather.com forecast indicated that a light rain would persist but get no worse. The conditions were playable at the game's beginning.

    b. It started to get really bad in the fifth - horrific timing. If the game had dragged longer early, and they put on the tarp before the contest became official, then they could've banged the game and started from scratch. An unpalatable denouement, no doubt, since the Phillies would've blown a Cole Hamels start, but what are you gonna do?

    But once it became clear that the conditions made the game unplayable, the game was already official, with the Phillies up, 2-1. Bud Selig should've just admitted afterward that the score absolutely influenced their decision-making. Once the Rays tied it, they could throw on the tarp knowing that they could pick the game up whenever weather permits.

    You know that, when B.J. Upton scored on Carlos Pena's sixth-inning single, beating Pat Burrell's throw home, Selig let out a "Woo hoo!"

    How bad would a rain-shortened World Series finale have been? Not real good, obviously, both in terms of fan satisfaction and future marketing - you want to be able to put a photo of the team pile-up on DVDs, etc. But there would've been some integrity to it: "We play our game outdoors in many cities. We're not football. We're not meant to play in any and all conditions. We're sorry the Rays didn't get a full nine innings, but the rules are the rules, whether it's April 27 or October 27."

    The alternatives were horrible. To keep playing last night would have been a grand injustice; the Rays probably wouldn't have tied the game in the first place if not for the weather. And for Selig to invoke his "best interests of the game" power to put the game on indefinite delay, that would've been an abuse of his power, IMHO.

    So, Selig should personally thank the Rays for tying this up. Because they did, all we're really ripping the commisioner on is theoreticals.

    c. "This is the price they pay for starting so late at night." I guess, if you apply that only to last night. I mean, what if first pitch was 7:05, and then the rain turned really bad at 8:30, as opposed to starting at 8:30 and turning really bad at 10?

    I used to be all over baseball for the late starting times, thinking that they were inflicting damage on their future audience because kids didn't get to see a full World Series game. But my 5-year-old son has become a passionate baseball fan (I swear, I didn't force it upon him), and he doesn't seem to care that he misses the games. He calls me every morning at 7 and asks me, "Who won?"

    d. "This is the price they pay for extending the postseason so late." And it's gonna be even later next year. But again...not sure what can/should be done. How much would they have to move it up to avoid a scenario like last night's? A week? Two weeks? Do you cut down the number of playoff games? They did move back Game 1 four days last year, to avoid starting the Series on the weekend, which I thought was smart.

    2. Anyway, about the game itself: Right now, it feels like the Rays won back some momentum. Pena and Evan Longoria are both finally on the board with hits. Grant Balfour came up huge in relief of Scott Kazmir, escaping a first-and-second, none-out situation in the fifth. And now the Phillies have to complete this game without Hamels.

    3. It seemed like home-plate ump Jeff Kellogg was all over the map. But no, I'm not going to advocate replay for balls and strikes.

    4. If we somehow can finish the game tonight - and right now, it is pouring outside - and the Rays extend this to seven, we'd be looking at playing six straight days, switching sites with no rest for travel. It'll be interesting to see how the players hold up. At least all of the relievers except Balfour got last night off.

    5. Here is my World Series Insider, which discusses the Mets' willingness to trade youngsters for a closer. It sounds like Seattle's J.J. Putz, a Richie G. favorite, won't be made available. But you can count on Omar Minaya asking new Mariners GM Jack Zduriencik about that issue at next week's GM meetings. Assuming those GM meetings aren't delayed by an unresolved World Series.

    All right, I'll post an update as soon as we know something more.

    UPDATE, 7:07 P.M. Hey, did you hear they pushed back the World Series? Sorry, I wound up driving back to NYC (so no local exploring, Sandy). Thanks for keeping things running in my absence. I'm writing a column for tomorrow's Newsday, but to give you a sneak preview, the more I think about what transpired, the more I think the Phillies got jobbed. I think, however, they have the perfect manager to forget about what happened and just move forward. Charlie Manuel is not one to sweat the small stuff.


    October 27, 2008

    World Series: Pete Rose should be allowed to attend games

    rosecard.jpgI was flashing back this morning to the last time the Phillies won the World Series, and what stands out the most is the game's second-to-last play, when Pete Rose somehow caught the foul ball - hit by Frank White - that hit Bob Boone's glove first.

    Rose could easily win a mayoral election in Cincinnati, but he's pretty popular here, too, understandably so. Wouldn't it have been cool to have Rose throw out the ceremonial first pitch for tonight's World Series Game 5?

    I'm no Rose apologist. While the BBWAA never had a chance to vote on Rose's Hall of Fame candidacy - Fay Vincent created a rule specifically designed to keep Rose off the ballot - I would say no forever. There is no greater sin than betting on games when you're a participant in the game. Even if you're only the manager. Even if you bet on your own team.

    But is it really necessary to keep him out of the game altogether? Couldn't he at least show up at ballparks and get applauded?

    Bud Selig has been hypocritical on this issue. He allowed Rose to show up for a 1999 event in Atlanta, before Game 2 of that World Series, because he made the All-Century team and the sponsor wanted him there. The same thing happened in 2002, when Rose appeared at an event prior to one of the games (I would guess Game 4, but can't remember for certain) in San Francisco.

    So why not let him be honored for his great playing career? You still wouldn't be giving him what he really wants - the chance to work again in baseball. And the Veterans Committee would never vote in Rose, even if he did appear on the ballot.

    Just a thought, as we get ready for Game 5...

    Thanks to this site for the photo.