In contemplating CC Sabathia's free agency, here are the primary forces I see in play:
1) Sabathia's preference to play on the West Coast.
2) The Yankees' intention to blow away all other competitors for Sabathia's services.
3) The Players Association's goal of constantly raising the bar for players.
Is there a way for Sabathia to appease both his own desire and the union's, while dissing the Yankees in the process?
I can think of only one solution: The Angels. They're the only team, besides the Yankees, that I can see possibly offering Sabathia more than the six-year, $137.5 million package that the Mets gave to Johan Santana.
Can't envision the Dodgers going that high, and Sabathia's friends think he still hopes the Giants will get involved. But how can the Giants sign Sabathia to that rich a deal when they already have Barry Zito on their payroll?
No, I see just the Angels. And maybe not even them. After all, owner Arte Moreno is a staunch Bud Selig ally and tries to do right by the commissioner.
However, Moreno is ultra-competitive, and he has to be fuming that his team went down so easily in the playoffs yet again. The Angels traditionally work quickly in the winter - last year, they signed Torii Hunter on Thanksgiving - and they have set new precedents in the past. Last year, Hunter's five-year, $90-million contract broke the record for AAV for a centerfielder.
Because the Angels like to work quickly, they have made noise about moving on without Mark Teixeira, if the first baseman doesn't come to terms during the window of exclusivity. There's a better chance that Teixeira will join Barack Obama's cabinet than his signing before he attains full free agency. So maybe that embiggens the likelihood of the Angels trying to blow Sabathia away with a record-setting package.
CC's friends don't see him leaving gobs of money on the table. But what if the Angels offer six years and $145 milllion, and the Yankees offer six years and $150 million? Or what if the difference is even more dramatic?
The union wants its clients to pick up every last dollar, understandably. Yet ultimately, the goal is to keep raising the bar, so as long as Sabathia surpasses Santana, the PA can complain only so much.
Would Sabathia allow himself to step away from $10 million? $20 million? I bounced this scenario off a friend of his, and the friend did think it was more feasible if CC was still breaking Santana's record.
We'll see how this plays out; this is all speculative, on my part. Just something else to contemplate, as we prepare for what will be a very exciting baseball winter (even if it's a little dull at the moment).
You can read my stories for Newsday here, here and here.
Back in the good old days of sports media, if a competitor had a story you didn't have, and you believed that story was inaccurate, you could just ignore it. But that's not realistic anymore, not with you folks understandably asking me about everything out there.
So...no on this. The Yankees know they're not getting Jake Peavy. He doesn't want to come to New York, despite whether his agent did or didn't include the Yankees in that informal list. The Braves and Cubs are the clear leaders for Peavy's services. Seems like a good chance that a trade will be completed before full free agency begins on Nov. 14th.
And there have been rumors of a three-way trade in which the Yankees gave up Hideki Matsui and Robinson Cano and wind up with Matt Holliday, with the Mariners also involved. No. The Yankees would trade Cano in the right deal, but the right deal isn't a one-year rental of Holliday.
Quick day today. The GMs meet in the morning, then they all sprint out the door to make mid-day flights home. So this won't be as frenetic as the last two days. I myself have a 3:55 (California time) flight home, so I'll check in again, at least once more, before concluding the blog coverage of the meetings.