The second half is upon us. Time for some predictions.
Sox:
1. Boston will win in the neighborhood of 95 games and take the AL East. They'll wrap it up on the next to last day of the season at Fenway against the Yanks.
2. Justin Masterson will solidify the bullpen with a wicked two-seam fastball and fashionable tilted brim. The move will allow the Sox to use Hideki Okajima in a more situational role. He's held lefties to a .588 OPS this year, but righties are OPS'ing .770. The Sox will likely also trade for another lefty reliever, maybe former farmhand Ron Mahay, but it might not pan out to expectations. But that's OK because down the stretch it's all about matchups, and combustible Craig Hansen will get to show his stuff as a ROOGY (.212 BA allowed).
3. The fifth spot in the rotation might be something of a Merry-Go-Round. A little Clay Buchholz, a little Bartolo Colon, maybe some Pawtucket/Portland call-ups. But that's OK because the Beckett/Dice/Lester/TimKnucks rotation will keep getting it done.
4. David Ortiz might struggle at first, but he'll be his regular clutch self by September. The Sox don't really need to pick up a bat for the stretch run because they have Ortiz coming back.
Yanks:
1. The Pinstripers will win just a game or two less than the Bostons, and will be knee-deep in a tight wildcard race with the Rays and Tigers. Meanwhile, the Tigers will be battling the White Sox for the AL Central. Why is this relevant? Because the Rays play the Tigers in the last series of the year (it's in Detroit). I'm betting the WC race is still a three-dog fight on the last game of the year.
2. The Yanks bullpen will stay solid. Here's to You (Mr. Robertson) and Dan Giese will come back to earth a bit, but the JosFarnMo combo should be able to get it done in the late innings. The Yanks could use a lefty, though ... and when are they going to dump LaTroy Hawkins (7.50 road ERA)??
3. Sidney Ponson will go back to being a beer-swilling trainwreck, Darrel Ranser will continue stinking it up, and the Yanks will pursue a series of stopgap pitching solutions. However, I'm too much of a wily veteran at this to assume the holes in the rotation will keep the Yanks down. If they could do it will Shawn Chacon and Aaron Small in 2005, they can do it with whoever this year.
4. The Yanks will go berserk looking for a bat for the stretch run and will probably end up overpaying for Raul Ibanez. Ultimately, it won't matter. Remember Aaron Guiel?
Whittle and Dennehy = cool customers. Fernandez and LaMonica = concerned.
--Whittle