Stephen Haynes here to hijack Erik's blog for a few hours and schmooze with you on a Monday night. Television told me that the Jets have a big game tonight. True?
On paper, the Chargers are the better team. On paper, the Chargers should be – and maybe will be – contenders for the AFC title. But it matters naught because the Chargers, right now, are a wounded team. They’re a Bugatti with a clunking transmission. For the second week in a row, the Jets have caught the wrong team at the right time.
Pro-Bowl nose tackle Jamal Williams, whom the Chargers 3-4 defense relies heavily on, is dealing with a bad knee and thus far, hasn’t been able to dominate the interior line. It’s shown in opponents’ 5.4 yards per carry average against San Diego. Star pass-rusher Shawne Merriman is out. Marcus McNeil, arguably the best run-blocking left tackle in the NFL, has been held back with a neck injury and will be starting his first game of the season. Former Pro-Bowl center Nick Hardwick is out with a foot injury. All-everything running back LaDainian Tomlinson has a busted little piggy that’s crying “Wee-wee-wee.”
They’ve also been star-crossed. A last-second desperation heave by Jake Delhomme cost them in Week 1, and a couple blown calls last week downed them against the Broncos.
If there’s a game for the Jets to open up the offense, it’s this one. Granted, the San Diego secondary is full of ballhawks and playmakers. Brett Favre has the propensity to make reckless throws at times and the Chargers have guys who can catch – and do something with it afterwards. But the Jets can’t go in fearing that defense. A defense that’s giving up 32.5 points per game (fourth worst in the league), the second most passing yards (293.5), and that has just one interception and two sacks.
The alternate strategy could be to be extra conservative, control the clock and try to limit the chances that Philip Rivers (122.5 QB rating, six touchdowns), Tomlinson, Darren Sproles, Antonio Gates and Chris Chambers get. But that’s an explosive offense with quick-strike ability. The Jets need to be aggressive and, at least at the outset, be in attack mode. Because facing 0-3 and a Broncos resurgence in their division, it would stand to reason that the Chargers come out fired up and looking to throw the flurry.
All that said…
Keys to the game
Offense
- OC Brian Schottenheimer must try to get Favre into an early rhythm and let the pass set up the run. Thomas Jones has gotten off to a decent start and San Diego’s run defense hasn’t, plus the Jets have been conservative through two games. Which means the Chargers probably made run-stuffing a point of emphasis last week and could be gearing up for the run. If the Jets come out throwing, maybe they can catch them off guard. With their down-hill (weird saying, considering the field is flat), attacking defense, the Chargers are sometimes susceptible to play-action.
San Diego has been done in by bad luck (they're still seething about Ed Hochuli’s fumble-recovery-but-not-a-turnover call) and, more importantly, bad defense. An early deficit might dishearten them.
- Work Dustin Keller into the offense. He isn’t a good blocker, so him on the field might be a tip-off to the defense, but he’s too dynamic a weapon to keep on the bench. The Chargers linebackers are good at pass rushing, but they’re not the fastest bunch. Keller would have the speed advantage down field and would likely require safety attention. At the least, he could draw coverage deep and help open up some underneath routes for the receivers.
- Get Leon Washington more involved in the offense. He's touched the ball just 14 times (eight runs, six catches). He's the Jets version of Sproles and is a threat in space.
Defense
- Pressure Rivers. Sounds like it’s from the book of Ostensibly Obvious, and it applies to every quarterback, but Rivers is a rhythm passer who likes to attack the intermediate range and is very accurate when given time to throw. When pressured, however, his mechanics tend to fall apart. And he sometimes holds the ball too long. He was never a mobile quarterback and he’s even more of a sitting duck now, still recovering from off-season knee surgery. He still has a slight limp to his gait. The Jets need to test it.
- A good area to attack might be Rivers’ blind side. With Marcus McNeil likely dealing with some rust at left tackle, the Jets should keep the pressure on from that side and see if they can capitalize. Especially if Tomlinson isn’t able to play much. Sproles gives effort as a blocker (he’s butcher-like with the quick cut), but you wouldn’t think the 5'6", 181-pound fella can consistently hold off Calvin Pace and Bryan Thomas on the edges.
- Stuff the run with the front 7. With the addition of Chambers (25.5 yards per catch, three TDs) and the continued improvement of Vincent Jackson, the Chargers no longer have to rely on throwing 10-yard curls and post routes to Gates. Rivers can look to his receivers in that 15- to 25-yard range.
If the Jets wind up having to bring an eighth man to the line of scrimmage (likely Kerry Rhodes), it will put a lot of pressure on the corners and the Chargers utilize play-action very well. Rookie Dwight Lowery is physical and smart, but he might have his hands full dealing with the 6'5" Jackson.
Miscellaneous: Ben Graham, released after last week’s loss, was back before the Jets could miss him (would they have missed him?). Relativley picayune, but still an interesting story within the story. Let’s see how he does.
1st Quarter
- David Barrett picked off a Philip Rivers pass on the Chargers first drive and took it back 25 yards for a touchdown. 7-0, Jets.
- Nate Kaeding capped a 12-play, 53-yard Chargers drive with a 36-yard field goal. 7-3, Jets.
- Touchdown Chargers. Fullback Mike Tolbert scored on a 1-yard touchdown pass from Rivers. The score was setup by a Thomas Jones fumble (recovered by Quentin Jammer and returned 23 yards to the Jets 16), the Chargers capitalized with the five-play, 16-yard drive. 10-7, Chargers.
Highlights: The big plays in the first quarter were turnovers, as they often are. Rivers' telegraphed pass to Gates resulted in a pick-6 for David Barrett, and Jones' fumble setup the Chargers touchdown.
2nd Quarter
- Touchdown Chargers. Antonio Cromartie intercepts a Favre pass and takes it back 52 yards for a touchdown at 14:48. 17-7, Chargers.
- Touchdown Jets. Favre hit Laveranues Coles for a three-yard score at 13:50. The 2-play scoring drive was setup by a 94-yard kickoff return by Leon Washington. 17-14, Chargers.
- Touchdown Chargers. Chris Chambers scores on a 27-yard pass from Rivers at 11:17. 24-14, Chargers.
- Touchdown Chargers. Antonio Gates scored on a six-yard pass from Rivers at 3:17. The 10-play, 45-yard drive was setup by Eric Weddle's interception of Favre. 31-14, Chargers.
Highlights: Favre threw two interceptions in the quarter, which led to 14 points for San Diego. Chargers defensive end Luis Castillo left the field midway through the quarter with a knee injury. He was able to walk off on his own and didn't have much of a limp, though.
Half Time: 31-14, Chargers.
The turnovers (two interceptions and a fumble) have hurt the Jets as the Chargers have parlayed them into three touchdowns. It looks as if the Jets have opened up the passing game, with Favre taking some shots down field. However, he has made some poor decisions and has stared down his intended receiver a couple times. As well, Favre and Jerricho Cotchery haven't been able to get on the same page. Cotchery doesn't have a reception and one of the interceptions was due in part to a miscommunication (wrong route?) with him. Had it not been for a Cromartie drop (on what was a sure interception that would've been an easy run-back), the Jets would be trailing by 24. That's the danger of aggressive play-calling. Favre is 10-for-16 with 70 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions.
Defensively, the Jets began to fall apart after Kris Jekins left the game. They don't have much (if any) quality depth at defensive tackle and, without Jenkins there to clog the middle and draw double teams, the rushing lanes off guard opened up in the second quarter (San Diego has 61 yards on the ground) and the pass rush has been almost nonexistent. Philip Rivers has yet to be sacked - hasn't faced much pressure - and he's 10-for-15 with three touchdowns.
3rd Quarter
- Touchdown Chargers. Tomlinson scored on a two-yard touchdown run to cap a seven-play, 79-yard drive to open the half. 38-14, Chargers.
Highlights: The Chargers kept the proverbial foot on the throat of the Jets, scoring on their first drive. Sproles (97 total yards) was the featured offensive player for them. He did a lot of the work on the scoring drive, getting the ball down to the 2 for Tomlinson ("Touchdown vulture!" cry the fantasy leaguers). The Jets offense continued to meander. They had an 11-play, 59-yard drive that started at 10:36, but it ended in the red zone with a turnover on downs (on another near-interception by a Chargers defensive back).
4th Quarter
- Touchdown Jets. Chansi Stuckey scored on a four-yard pass from Favre to end a 15-play, 83-yard drive. The Jets went for the two-pointer but didn't convert. 38-20, Chargers with 10:30 left.
- Field goal Jets. Jay Feely hits a 32-yard field goal to finish the six-play, 43-yard drive. There's 8:21 left in the game. After the Stuckey touchdown, Vernon Gholston recovered Feely's onside kick and a 41-yard catch-and-run by Coles got the Jets into the red zone. 38-23, Chargers
- Touchdown Chargers. Tomlinson powers in from the 2. The big play on the drive was a 60-yard pass from Rivers to Jackson. 45-23, Chargers
- Touchdown Jets. Dustin Keller catches a 13-yard pass from Favre; the rookie's first NFL touchdown. The Jets failed on three two-point conversion attempts (Chargers penalties gave them extra chances). Cotchery had a 54-yard kickoff return to help setup the touchdown. 45-29, Chargers with 3:09 left.
- Field goal Chargers. Nate Kaeding hits a 49-yard field goal. The drive, setup by the Jets failed attempt at an onside kick, went four plays and netted eight yards. 48-29, Chargers with 2:03 left.
Final: 48-29, Chargers
Recap: The score says it all. The Jets were thoroughly trounced and, adding injury to insult, NT Kris Jenkins got hurt. The defense looked inept at times and they were unable to get any crucial stops. As well, the offense turned it over too many times to give itself a chance against a high-scoring team.
Favre finished 30-for-42 with 271 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Jones had just 10 carries for 37 yards and had a costly fumble in the first quarter. Leon Washington had one carry for -1 yard. Cotchery led all receivers with 10 catches for 76 yards. David Harris led the Jets with 10 tackles
Rivers completed 19 of 25 for 250 yards, three touchdowns and an interception. Tomlinson carried 26 times for 67 yards and two touchdowns. Jackson was the Chargers leading receiver with three catches for 74 yards (60 on one play). Cromartie starred on defense, finishing with nine tackles and two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown.
The Jets fall to 1-2 and the Chargers improve to 1-2.