BY MARCUS HENRY
The 2005-2006 season was considered the year of the little guy in college basketball as seven so-called mid major schools received at-large bids to the NCAA tournament. And with Hofstra getting left out you can make the argument that it should have been eight. The mid-majors who received at-large bids validated the NCAA Tournament selection committee’s confidence as three of those seven schools advanced to the Sweet 16, including George Mason, which made arguably the greatest final four run in the history of the sport. Wichita State and Bradley, both out of the Missouri Valley Conference, won two games.
Other mid majors who did damage were Montana, Northwestern State, Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Bucknell. Those schools, who received automatic bids for winning their conference tournaments, won first-round games.
There are at least 17 mid-major schools that could make a case for an at-large bid. You won’t see any Atlantic 10 Conference schools, because unlike some college basketball observers, I don’t consider the A-10 a mid major conference.
Obviously several of the teams listed below won’t need an at-large bid because they will win their conference tournament. Regardless, here is a look the mid major schools that could warrant at-large consideration.
CAA
George Mason (12-5, 4-2): Wins over Kansas State, Dayton and South Carolina could be enough if GM makes a strong run in the CAA tournament. Making the final four in 2006 gave them some serious clout.
Virginia Commonwealth (12-4, 5-1): The Rams have wins over Maryland and Houston, but that’s about it. But since the conference has had a good showing in the tournament the last few seasons, those non-conference wins might be all the Rams need.
CONFERENCE USA
UAB (12-5, 2-0): The Blazers have wins over Cincinnati and Kentucky. An upset of Memphis (for a change), coupled with 20 wins could seal the deal for them.
UTEP (11-4, 2-0): If the Miners can’t beat UAB or upset Memphis at least once, they will have a tough time convincing the committee they are worthy.
Houston (12-3, 1-0): The Cougars have a gaudy overall record, but there isn’t a lot of substance, except for a win over Kentucky. It’ll take more than that (a win over Memphis) to sway the committee.
HORIZON
Butler (16-2, 5-2): Butler has two conference losses already, but wins over Michigan, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech and Ohio State should make it a lock, assuming the team doesn’t suffer another loss or two in the conference.
Cleveland State (13-5, 6-0): Okay so the Vikings have one quality win (Butler). Another win over Butler on February 16 combined with a 20-plus win season could mean an at-large bid. But with five losses already, there can be no margin for error.
MAC
Kent State (14-3, 3-0): Kent has two quality wins over fellow mid majors George Mason and Illinois State. With the MAC’s suspect RPI, the Golden Flashes probably need to finish with 24 or 25 wins and make the MAC title game.
Akron (14-3, 3-0): Akron probably has less of a chance than Kent, but like the Golden Flashes, a 25-win season plus a strong conference tournament run will make the Zips a factor.
MISSOURI VALLEY CONFERENCE
Drake (15-1, 6-0): Drake’s record has put it on everyone’s radar. But the Bulldogs don’t have any quality wins to speak of. Wins over Iowa, Wichita State and Bradley don’t mean much because they are all having down seasons. That could change, however, with a win over Illinois State on January 19.
Illinois State (14-3, 6-0): Wins over Creighton and Cincinnati will keep Illinois State on the selection committee’s radar. But a win over Drake should have the Redbirds on the radar on selection day.
Creighton (13-3, 4-2): A season-opening win over DePaul gave the Bluejays a leg to stand on. A win over conference foes Drake and Illinois State should give them an entire support foundation.
MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE
San Diego State (13-4, 3-0): The Aztec’s don’t have much going for them yet. But the tournament committee has been kind to the Mountain West Conference the last few years.
UNLV (13-4, 2-1): The Runnin’ Rebels have wins over Minnesota and UTEP to hang their hat on. As stated earlier, the committee has been kind to the MWC, so UNLV is on the right track.
Air Force (10-6, 2-1): Nearly two years removed from an at-large bid, the Falcons are hoping for the same magic. They beat UNLV already, so part of the battle is already won. A win over San Diego State and 20 wins would help their cause even more.
WEST COAST CONFERENCE
Gonzaga (13-4, 2-0): Wins against Virginia Tech, UConn and St. Joe’s should mean something. The Zags' NCAA Tournament track record notwithstanding, an appearance in the WCC tourney final would go a long way for them.
Saint Mary’s (14-2, 1-0): The Gaels, who beat Oregon on the road, Drake and Seton Hall, probably have a stronger case than Gonzaga. But the Zags’ past accomplishments give them the edge.
Check back next week for week 2 of my Mid Major watch.