MARCUS HENRY
Not a lot has changed, although Ohio State and George Mason are out. George Mason could find itself back in with a nice run in the CAA tourney…The key game this week is Duke against North Carolina. A win by Duke will make it a number one seed. UNC, even with a loss could still be a number one also, which means Tennessee and Memphis are in danger of dropping to a two if they can’t win their tournaments. And it’s not unheard of for two number one seeds to come from one conference…UMass (19-9, 8-6) knocked out St. Joe’s as the second A-10 team. Temple (16-12, 9-5) has won 5 of 7 and is the only A-10 team to beat Xavier. If the Owls win their final two regular season games against Duquesne and La Salle and make a run in the A-10 tourney that means at least 20 wins for them. An Atlantic 10 team with 11 conference wins and 20 overall victories has a chance…One conference that could get squeezed is the Sun Belt. South Alabama and Western Kentucky have 25 and 24 wins, respectively. The Mountain West and Conference USA could also lose a bid. But if the BCS conferences continue to lose bids, which could happen if the Wildcat bunch of Arizona, Villanova and Kansas State continue to struggle, the mid-majors will thrive.
SOUTH - HOUSTON
LITTLE ROCK
1. Memphis – Still a number one seed and possibly the best in the country; poor free throw shooting notwithstanding.
16. Austin Peay (OVC winner)
8. Florida – The loss to Mississippi State hurt, but not that much.
9. Miami – The ‘Canes made up for a loss against Clemson by dispatching Virginia.
TAMPA
5. Marquette – A two-point loss to Georgetown won’t hurt Marquette’s standing.
12. New Mexico – Say hello to the Mountain West’s third team.
4. Purdue – The Boilermakers are rolling.
13. Davidson (Southern Conference winner)
ANAHEIM
6. Gonzaga – Big win over St. Mary’s could move the Zags up soon.
11. Kansas State – The Wildcats have lost four straight and are fading fast.
3. Wisconsin – The Badgers could be as high as a two seed when it’s all said and done.
14. CS Northridge (Big West winner)
BIRMINGHAM
7. Pittsburgh – Pittsburgh kept its seed with wins against Cincy and Syracuse.
10. Houston – The Cougars were awful against East Carolina. That better be their last loss until the C-USA semifinal.
2. Texas – Loss at Texas Tech all but prevents the Horns from a number one seed.
15. UMBC (America East)
MIDWEST - DETROIT
OMAHA
1. Tennesse – A big win over Kentucky keeps the Vols number one.
16. (Play-in teams) – SWAC/SOUTHLAND.
8. Arizona – The Wildcats have to beat Oregon and Oregon State this week. If not, see ya!
9. Massachusetts – Thanks to a four-game winning streak, UMass is the new hot A-10 at-large team. But Temple is right on their heels.
DENVER
5. Notre Dame – A tough loss at Louisville kept the Irish from moving up to a four seed.
12. Western Kentucky – 24 wins justifies keeping the Hilltoppers here.
4. Michigan State – A bad loss at Wisconsin was buoyed by a win against Indiana.
13. Utah State (WAC winner)
OMAHA
6. St. Mary’s - The Gaels’ loss to Gonzaga should effect its seeding.
11. UAB – Yes, C-USA will have three teams in.
3. Indiana – The Hoosiers were a little too giving on defense against Michigan State, but we still think they are a legit three seed.
14. Marist (MAAC winner)
RALEIGH
7. Mississippi State – The Bulldogs are hotter than a firecracker and knocked off Florida to prove it.
10. UNLV – The Runnin’ Rebels success has made the Mountain West a legitimate multi-bid conference.
2. Georgetown – Four straight wins, including a two-point triumph against Marquette keeps the Hoyas at number two.
15. Lafayette (Patriot winner)
WEST - PHOENIX
ANAHEIM
1. UCLA – The Bruins have won five straight since a bad loss to Washington.
16. Jacksonville (Atlantic Sun winner)
8. West Virginia – The Mountaineers loss a critical game against at Connecticut, but they have 20 wins and a 9-7 Big East record.
9. Arkansas – The Razorbacks made up for two straight losses with a win over Vanderbilt.
TAMPA
5. Xavier – The Musketeers have won 11 straight; enough said.
12. Illinois State – A 22-win Missouri Valley Conference team should be a lock.
4. Stanford – The Cardinal solidified themselves by beating Washington State.
13. UNC Asheville (Big South winner)
LITTLE ROCK
6. Drake – The top team in the Missouri Valley Conference is legit.
11. Texas A & M – The Aggies have 21 wins. Another win makes them a lock.
3. Louisville – Georgetown had better watch it or the Cardinals will steal that two seed.
14. Oral Roberts (Summit winner)
WASHINGTON D.C.
7. Vanderbilt – A loss at Arkansas keeps Vanderbilt from rising.
10. Baylor – The Bears, who picked up their 20th win, are back in the hunt
2. Duke – The Blue Devils can still steal a number one seed.
15. Morgan State (MEAC winner)
EAST - CHARLOTTE
RALEIGH
1. North Carolina – The Tar Heels still need to beat Duke in the regular season finale.
16. Wagner (Northeast winner)
8. Villanova – The Wildcats MUST beat South Florida and Providence this week to hold on.
9. USC – The Trojans have won three of four and should be a lock.
DENVER
5. Washington State – The Cougars needed to beat Stanford to move up, but they are still started.
12. Kent State (MAC winner) – Kent should be a lock.
4. Butler – Butler will likely need to make a run to the Horizon semifinal to remain a four.
13. VCU – VCU could grab and at-large bid if they lose in the CAA tournament.
WASHINGTON D.C.
6. Clemson – The Tigers have done enough to stay a six.
11. South Alabama – Tough to keep out a 25-win team that has a win against Mississippi State.
3. Connecticut – The Huskies look like their old selves again.
14. Cornell – The Big Red had the Ivy locked up a long time ago.
BIRMINGHAM
7. BYU – The Cougars loss at San Diego State on February 23 is a distant memory.
10. Virginia Tech – The Hokies three-game winning streak moves them past Maryland.
2. Kansas – Order has been restored in the Big 12 for now.
15. Northern Arizona (Big Sky winner)
Bid by conference: America East (1), Atlantic 10 (2), ACC (5), Atlantic Sun (1), Big East (8), Big 10 (4), Big 12 (5), Big Sky (1), Big South (1), Big West (1), CUSA (3), CAA (1), Horizon (2), Ivy (1), MAAC (1), MAC (1), MEAC (1), Missouri Valley (2), Mountain West (3), Northeast (1), OVC (1), Pac 10 (4), SEC (5), Southern (1), Southland / SWAC (1), Summit (1), Sunbelt (2), WAC (1), West Coast Conference (2).